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The Calm Before the Storm: Why Higher Volatility may Soon hit the FX Market

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In our on demand webinar, speaker Adam Chester examines recent economic and FX market developments and shares his views on the potential direction, and likely volatility, of key FX rates over the coming months. 

Adam focuses on whether the sharp rise in inflation this year is likely to be sustained or temporary, and the likely implications of this for economic growth, interest rates and the currency markets. 

After the summer lull, the fourth quarter promises to be more eventful. The potential for a renewed surge in Covid cases over the winter, the possibility of more mixed growth signals, the UN COP26 Climate Change Conference and the shifting rhetoric from central banks could all prompt significant movements in FX rates. 

The US Federal Reserve and Bank of England have already signaled that they are likely to start adjusting monetary policy over the coming months. If so, how will the US dollar and sterling react? And where will this leave the euro?

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Speakers

Adam Chester

Chief Economist

AC Economics

Adam has been a client-facing economist, specialising in the UK SME and Mid-cap client segment for much of his thirty-year career. He now runs his own economics consultancy dedicated to providing companies with easy-to-follow commentary and views on the economic balance sheet risks they face – especially FX. Previously he worked as a financial market economist at the Bank of England and as an international bond and FX strategist at investment bank, Yamaichi International, before moving into retail and commercial banking. He was Chief Economist at Halifax Group Treasury, Chief Economist at HBOS Treasury Services, and Head of Economics and Market Strategy for Lloyds Bank Corporate Markets. He is a fellow of the Society of Professional Economists and has regularly appeared on radio and television.
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